I was updating my Google Sheet expected net worth, income and expense numbers for Sep 2017 this morning. Was surprised to see the saving rate % as a negative figure. Which means I have run into my very first negative cash on hand month. Good news is that it’s not a negative cashflow month. That would have been disastrous.
What does negative cash on hand mean?
I know we can be relatively high spending at times. Hence the reason for setting up automated savings and investments functions in our portfolio. Every month, one fixed portion of our salary income is automatically invested in monthly investment plans and robo-advisor accounts. Another fixed portion of our salary income is automatically transferred into a high interest savings account.
In our Google Sheet, the former is recorded as an investment expense and the latter is recorded as a savings expense. I’m fully aware these are not actually expenses in the accounting sense since they are not cash outflows. However, I have already mentioned before this is our own accounting treatment. It’s less about balancing the numbers but more about putting in a framework that encourages us to invest and save.
By treating them as cash outflows in our Google Sheet, we leave ourselves with the remaining portion to spend on items such as housing loan, travel, dining, entertainment etc. It’s usually more than sufficient to cover all of those actual expenses. So we end up with cash that is leftover that has been’t invested or saved. I call it cash on hand and the amount usually gets rolled forward to the next month.
We developed this cash management system over time after returning to Singapore and having more disposable income. It was our attempt (with limited success) at managing lifestyle inflation, which has continued to creep up. For the first time in 3.5 years, we will have no cash on hand at the end of this month. Sep 2017 has become a crucial month for all the wrong reasons.
What to do in a negative cash on hand month?
This is when I know it’s time to step in to make sure negative cash on hand doesn’t become a trend. I immediately start looking for the expense items that have caused this. The increase in monthly automated investments after setting up our robo-advisor accounts is one of the contributing factors. However, the main reason is the recent pickup in travel and personal care expenses. Upfront spending on flight tickets, hotels, gym membership and personal training is behind it.
Nothing alarming but I probably should have staggered these expenses out via interest-free instalments or the type of credit cards to charge them to. Credit cards usually allow me to delay the cash outflow necessary to pay for the spending by up to 1 or 2 months. This depends on how well you time the charge according to the credit card’s statement and payment cycles. Somehow, I must have lost track of these cycles because all the cash outflows are happening this month.
It’s too late to do anything about it at this stage except put in place mechanisms to ensure such a negative cash on hand month doesn’t happen again. What’s interesting is that I find myself feeling annoyed and fearful at the same time. You may think it’s not logical because we have sufficient cash savings to manage our expenses for years to come.
But it’s easy to see how this can quickly escalate to become a negative cashflow month. Meaning we actually have no cash to invest and save with more cash outflows than inflows. One job loss, medical emergency or unexpected spending event and we can be out of pocket for several months. Fear can be a useful hedge against being overconfident and overoptimistic. Not a bad time to start feeling it now. As for Sep 2017, I will probably update the savings rate as 0% just to make myself feel better.